
Without a reduction in greenhouse gas emissions, New Hampshire will see increased flooding that threatens infrastructure.
91制片厂 climate scientists have released a new report cautioning that the Granite State has become increasingly warmer and wetter since the 1970s. The state can expect a 鈥渘ew normal鈥 with concerningly high temperatures and more extreme precipitation events if changes are not made to reduce emissions and greenhouse gases and transition to efficient, low-carbon sources of energy.
鈥淗uman driven climate change is happening now and we鈥檙e at a critical crossroads.鈥
鈥淭his is not something that is just a problem for the future,鈥 says , research professor in climatology and glaciology and an author of the report. 鈥淗uman driven climate change is happening now and we鈥檙e at a critical crossroads. Those trends could get exponentially worse if we don鈥檛 take some action to slow the process and rapidly decrease emissions.鈥
The says that by the year 2100 most of New Hampshire could expect 50 to 60 days a year to be above 90掳F unless steps are taken to lower emissions
Key Findings
Since 1901
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temperatures across New Hampshire increased by an average of 3掳F
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annual precipitation increased 12%
Without reducing emissions, by 2100
- most of New Hampshire could expect 50 to 60 days a year to be above 90掳F
- snowfall could decrease by 20 鈥 50%
- winter temperatures are expected to be 10掳F higher
and control the amount of heat-trapping, or greenhouse, gas emitted, in which case the number of days could be cut in half. However, if emissions are not reduced substantially, the demand for energy to cool buildings during hotter summers and longer heat waves could more than double. The report also warns that an increase in summer heat without more rain could lead to drier summer weather and potentially more drought.
Summers are not the only troubling projections in the report. The state鈥檚 winters, which attract thousands of recreationists, are warming more rapidly than any other season. Winter temperatures are expected to be an additional 10掳F higher by the end of the century and could lead to earlier snowpack melt and an earlier ice-out on the state鈥檚 lakes, which is a real concern for the state鈥檚 multimillion-dollar winter recreation industry and other weather-dependent industries.
Researchers project the increase could be contained closer to a 6掳F temperature rise if emissions were lowered. The study also points to a warmer and longer spring and fall and shows that annual rainfall, which has increased more than eight inches since 1901, is expected to rise another 7-9% by the middle of the century. Most of this uptick is projected to happen because of a growth in heavy precipitation events, significantly increasing the risk of flooding impacting everything from roads to real estate.
鈥淭here鈥檚 not only a concern about warming temperatures but also more extreme weather events,鈥 says , associate professor of geography and New Hampshire听state climatologist, co-author of the report, along with Wake and research assistant professor . 鈥淔or instance, an increase in the amount of rain could threaten the state鈥檚 infrastructure because many of our storm water systems, built decades ago, were not designed for the higher surface runoff we see now, let alone what we expect in the coming decades. We鈥檙e already seeing these issues along the Seacoast.鈥
The report looked at data from 10 communities around New Hampshire, from Colebrook to Keene to the Seacoast, and offers not only the science behind these projections but forecasts what would happen if significant emission reduction were pursued. It highlights how different warming scenarios could tip the delicate balance in ecosystems, noting the potential increase in the number of invasive species and disease-carrying insects which could be an issue for both wildlife and humans.
Research for this report was funded in part by the National Science Foundation鈥檚 .
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Written By:
Robbin Ray 鈥82 | 91制片厂 Marketing | robbin.ray@unh.edu | 603-862-4864












































