91制片厂 experts weigh in on potential implications

Monday, February 5, 2018
91制片厂 students on the Isles of Shoals

91制片厂 students take part in a past Shoals Marine Laboratory event. Photo by Jeremy Gasowski

With recent on the Trump administration鈥檚 move to open Atlantic waters to offshore drilling exploration , two 91制片厂 experts shared their insights on a few key issues.

鲍狈贬鈥檚 , director of and fisheries and aquaculture program leader and commercial fisheries specialist, weighs in on how such a move could impact local tourism and commercial fishing, while Nancy Kinner, professor of civil and environmental engineering, an expert in oil spill response and restoration, discusses what would have to happen for a plan to move forward, including aspects like mitigation.

According to the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management's , the first of three proposals for the 2019-2024 National Outer Continental Shelf Oil and Gas Leasing Program was , with through March 9.

91制片厂's Nancy Kinner
Nancy Kinner

At this stage in the process, Kinner says, 鈥渢he key question is exactly where would that drilling occur? Unless conditions change a lot, the New Hampshire coast probably would not be the first place where drilling would be desirable 鈥 for a lot of factors.鈥 Those include determination in an exploratory stage that sufficient amounts of oil exist and that it would be financially viable to move forward with production. The financial aspects include the drilling itself 鈥 getting a production rig out there 鈥 and having the infrastructure in place to deliver any oil being produced. 鈥淚n the Gulf of Mexico, for example, a lot of that oil is pumped back onshore through pipelines. On the East Coast, we don鈥檛 have any offshore wells or the infrastructure. And that is a major investment,鈥 Kinner explains.

Even before that, Kinner says, the process to move forward with any plan for leases would be a lengthy one, with permissions, permitting, lease sales, environmental-impact statements and mitigation and decommissioning plans.

鈥淲e鈥檙e talking years even without any court cases,鈥 she says. But, she stresses, a long approval process does not mean there isn鈥檛 reason for concern. 鈥淚 am saying there will be a process, and we need to be paying attention to that process.鈥

If such a plan moves forward, it would mean 鈥渧ulnerability of our coastal resources to the effects of oil spills and other environmental hazards associated with drilling for oil in a marine environment,鈥 says Chapman, who is a member of 鲍狈贬鈥檚 department of biological sciences and the . 鈥淲e have many examples of the kind of environmental and human catastrophes that result from accidents associated with offshore drilling with in Prince William Sound in 1989 and in the Gulf of Mexico in 2010 being the best known. In New Hampshire, this would put our beaches, our tourism industry, fishing industry, emerging aquaculture industry 鈥 not to mention many of the things that give us such a high quality of life here on the Seacoast 鈥 all at risk.鈥

In response to the argument by proponents that expanded offshore drilling could be a step toward energy independence for the U.S., Chapman points to how such a move complicates marine planning discussions in a state where competing interests rely on a finite number of coastal miles. 鈥淚t didn鈥檛 take long for our Republican governor and our Democratic senators to state their opposition to offshore drilling here, so it鈥檚 clear how they feel about how the cost-benefit analysis of this opportunity plays out for the state,鈥 he adds.

91制片厂's Erik Chapman
Erik Chapman

Chapman notes the potential impact on New England鈥檚 commercial fishing and tourism economies cannot be ignored. 鈥淕roundfisheries off the coast of New Hampshire are already on life-support, given low quotas for some of the more valuable species, challenging markets that don鈥檛 always return a high price for catches and high operational costs,鈥 he explains, 鈥渟o the prospect of a devastating ecological disaster associated with an oil spill only makes prospects for this industry feel even worse.听Lobstermen and recreational fishers are doing relatively well here, and they are just as much at risk.听But I don鈥檛 think we can underestimate the devastation that could result from a spill for these industries given impacts we鈥檝e seen from Exxon Valdez and Deepwater Horizon.鈥

The potential for a spill could prove to be a financial deterrent to expansion as well. 鈥淥il companies have to have a plan for that as part of this process. They have to be able to show the ability to control if something goes wrong,鈥 Kinner says. 鈥淚ndustry invested in a capping stack for the Gulf of Mexico. We don鈥檛 have that infrastructure anywhere off the Atlantic coast. This will be highly scrutinized.鈥

Could drilling happen?

鈥淵es, it could,鈥 Kinner says. 鈥淐ould it happen in the next couple of years? Probably not.鈥

Oil companies are only going to drill when they can make money, Kinner notes, stressing this process will be especially involved because these are not areas where drilling has occurred before. 鈥淭he rules are set in law,鈥 she adds. 鈥淭he president can issue all the orders he wants, but the bureaucracy is set in place. I am not saying this isn鈥檛 serious. I am saying there are checks and balances, and we have a lot of time to be proactively resisting.鈥

Chapman echoes that sentiment. 鈥淔or fishermen and people in the tourist industry, I think the first step is to learn about this issue in more detail,鈥 he says, adding, 鈥淥rganizations such as New Hampshire Sea Grant at 91制片厂 and other similar groups off-campus that are in the business of engaging stakeholders, providing information that enables informed decisions and facilitating discussion and convening expertise can work together to help support a sound and effective decision-making process.鈥