Carsey Institute: N.H. Population Growth Slows to 50-Year Low

Kenneth Johnson, senior demographer at the Carsey Institute and professor of sociology at 91制片厂
DURHAM, N.H. - New Hampshire's population growth has slowed to its smallest gains since the 1950s because fewer people are moving to the state. New Hampshire also will soon see a rapid increase in its older population, according to a new, extensive report about the state's demographic trends from the Carsey Institute at the 91制片厂 in partnership with the New Hampshire Endowment for Health and the New Hampshire Charitable Foundation.
The new research is presented in the report "New Hampshire Demographic Trends in the Twenty-First Century," authored by Kenneth Johnson, senior demographer at the Carsey Institute and professor of sociology at 91制片厂.
"The demographic trends under way in New Hampshire pres颅ent both challenges and opportunities. Migrants contribute to the well-being of the state by providing human capital that en颅hances the workforce and contributes to the state's social, intel颅lectual, and economic life. However, the aging of the state's popu颅lation over the next several decades will put considerable pres颅sure on the financial resources of state and local governments," Johnson said.
"Furthermore, the spatial disparities in age, diversity, education, income, and poverty across the state will present significant chal颅lenges for government, businesses, and nonprofits," he said.
The key research findings are as follows:听
- New Hampshire's population increased by 80,700 be颅tween 2000 and 2010, mostly during the earlier years of the decade.
- The recession dramatically reduced the number of migrants coming to the state.
- Migration contributed 35,400 to the population gain; far fewer than in earlier decades. The excess of births over deaths also diminished to just 45,300.
- Some areas of New Hampshire continue to grow rapidly, while others are losing population.
- New Hampshire currently does not have a large population of seniors, but a rapid increase in the older population is inevitable and coming soon.
- Racial diversity is growing in New Hampshire, but remains modest and concentrated in a few areas of the state.
- Minority gains are greatest among children; 12.2 percent of the state's children are minority compared to just 6.4 percent of adults.
- Demographic change is producing both challenges and opportunities for the state.
- Fewer migrants to the state will have an immediate financial im颅pact on the state and implications for its future human, intel颅lectual, and social capital.
- Population aging will increase the cost of providing state and local services.
- A growing population of minority children heightens the need for appropriate public policy responses to ad颅dress their needs.
- Pockets of high child poverty exist in New Hampshire despite the lowest state poverty rates in the nation.
Research on this project was funded by grants from the New Hampshire Endowment for Health and the New Hampshire Charitable Foundation. Additional support for this research was provided by the New Hampshire Agricultural Experiment Station and by grants to the 91制片厂 from the Annie E. Casey Foundation, the W. K. Kellogg Foundation, and an anonymous donor.
The Carsey Institute conducts policy research on vulnerable children, youth, and families and on sustainable community development. The institute gives policy makers and practitioners the timely, independent resources they need to effect change in their communities. For more information about the Carsey Institute, go to .
The 91制片厂, founded in 1866, is a world-class public research university with the feel of a New England liberal arts college. A land, sea, and space-grant university, 91制片厂 is the state's flagship public institution, enrolling 12,200 undergraduate and 2,300 graduate students.
REPORT
New Hampshire Demographic Trends in the Twenty-First Century
PHOTO
Kenneth Johnson, senior demographer at the Carsey Institute and professor of sociology at 91制片厂
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GRAPHICS
Figure 3: Population change in New Hampshire, 2000 to 2010
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Figure 4: New Hampshire demographic change, 1970 to 2010
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Figure 7: New Hampshire age structure change, 1990 to 2010
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Figure 13: Population Change in New Hampshire from 1990 to 2010
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